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Playoff Odds
Season 2026 Projections
5000 simulations · 2097 games played · 361 remaining · Updated 2026-09-01
Team Record Proj W Proj L Range Playoff Win Div WC DS CS WS Champ
MIL 85-53 99 63 96-102 100.0% 98.8% 1.2% 94.9% 57.5% 30.1% 15.1%
LAD 82-55 98 64 95-101 100.0% 100.0% <1% 92.0% 56.1% 30.2% 16.0%
TB 82-55 95 67 92-99 100.0% 86.3% 13.7% 99.6% 65.2% 38.5% 21.0%
ATL 82-56 95 67 92-98 100.0% 91.0% 9.0% 76.2% 39.2% 19.1% 9.7%
NYY 78-60 92 70 89-95 100.0% 13.0% 87.0% 94.1% 58.8% 27.8% 14.5%
PHI 78-60 91 71 87-94 98.7% 9.0% 89.6% 53.7% 19.7% 9.7% 4.4%
CHC 78-60 90 72 87-93 98.6% 1.2% 97.4% 46.6% 15.6% 6.6% 2.9%
BOS 75-63 88 74 85-91 99.4% <1% 98.7% 65.1% 28.2% 12.4% 5.8%
SD 73-65 86 76 83-89 62.7% <1% 62.6% 22.7% 7.3% 2.7% <1%
CWS 72-65 86 76 83-89 93.7% 87.0% 6.8% 53.1% 18.9% 8.5% 3.5%
AZ 73-66 85 77 82-88 36.5% <1% 36.5% 13.2% 4.4% 1.6% <1%
HOU 70-68 82 80 79-85 77.1% 75.4% 1.6% 35.1% 12.6% 6.2% 3.0%
CLE 69-68 82 80 79-85 41.5% 12.3% 29.2% 18.0% 5.4% 2.2% <1%
BAL 69-69 81 81 78-84 30.9% <1% 30.9% 12.4% 3.7% 1.6% <1%
TOR 68-70 80 82 77-84 25.6% <1% 25.6% 10.3% 3.2% 1.4% <1%
TEX 68-70 80 82 77-83 26.7% 22.7% 4.1% 10.6% 3.5% 1.3% <1%
MIA 69-69 80 82 77-83 2.0% <1% 2.0% <1% <1% <1% <1%
STL 68-70 80 82 77-83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
PIT 67-71 79 83 76-82 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
MIN 66-72 78 84 75-81 2.7% <1% 2.1% 1.0% <1% <1% <1%
SEA 64-74 77 85 73-80 2.1% 1.9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
WSH 66-74 76 86 73-79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
DET 63-74 75 87 72-79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
CIN 65-73 75 87 71-78 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
KC 62-76 73 89 70-76 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
NYM 62-76 73 89 70-76 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
SF 57-81 67 95 64-70 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
LAA 53-85 64 98 60-67 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
ATH 53-85 63 99 60-66 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
COL 52-86 62 100 58-65 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
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